covid19

COVID-19: what health experts could and could not predict | Nature Medicine
Devi Sridhar in Nature: “Nearly a year after the first cases of COVID-19 were reported, it is time to look back and assess what could have been predicted by health experts.”
(tags: science covid19 pandemic medicine)
I thrived on the tension and drama of British politics. Then I had a heart attack | Health & wellbeing | The Guardian
“I lived for the nerve-shredding rollercoaster of Westminster. But the stress got under my skin, and into my blood”
(tags: twitter Politics brexit journalism health)
I’d love to ignore ‘Covid sceptics’ and their tall tales. But they make a splash and have no shame | Media | The Guardian
Neil O’Brien on the fantasies of those in the media, and beyond, who oppose lockdown. There have been a few articles like this recently, hopefully it marks a tide rising against the loonies.
(tags: covid19 science lockdown pandemic)
Rise of the Coronavirus Cranks – Quillette
Another demolition of the smiley face crew.
(tags: twitter pandemic covid19 science)

Reasons for the COVID tier decisions in England
A presentation from NHS Test and Trace which David Spiegelhalter found.
(tags: disease pandemic covid19 nhs)
Balancing Epistemic Humility and Prior Knowledge – Insight
“This was a textbook virus. Why didn’t we act more like it?”
(tags: covid19 disease pandemic)
Chris Hopson on Twitter: “1/21 Parliament votes on the new tiered restctions on Tuesday. A lot of comment in today’s papers on what’s happening in the hospital sector. Important questions on NHS capacity, demand, preparedness, Nightingales etc. Thread
CEO of NHS Providers: “A lot of comment in today’s papers on what’s happening in the hospital sector. Important questions on NHS capacity, demand, preparedness, Nightingales etc. Thread below sets out NHS hospital trust perspective.”
(tags: covid19 nhs hospital pandemic)

Covid: The War We Never Fought – Consumer Surplus
“England is about to go into a second lockdown, along with lots of other European countries. It’s possible that the second wave of Covid infections we’re experiencing was inevitable, but we didn’t really try to avoid it either.” Contains a handy list of all the failed predictions from cranks like Toby Young and the Great Barrington backers.
(tags: health covid19 medicine Politics)
The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (England) (No. 4) Regulations 2020
The full text of the SI. This looks a lot more tightly drafted than the previous ones I’ve seen (and so is a fair bit longer).
(tags: law covid19)

No, 90% Of Coronavirus Tests Are Not ‘False Positives’ And This Is Why | HuffPost UK
Bayes for the win.
(tags: mathematics covid19 bayes-theorem)
The UK Government’s Vaccine Taskforce: strategy for protecting the UK and the world – The Lancet

(tags: vaccination covid19 medicine)

Covid-19: Do many people have pre-existing immunity? | The BMJ
Non-bonkers article on pre-existing immunity.
(tags: covid19 coronavirus immunity)
The importance of Nigel Farage and other political hobgoblins – The Law and Policy Blog
“Farage is a political hobgoblin.

He appears where there are cracks between the government and the governed, as a purveyor of easy answers.”
(tags: ukip brexit nigel-farage covid19)

The BMJ interview: Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, on covid-19 | The BMJ

(tags: covid19 medicine)

Boris Johnson: The gambler, by Tom Bower book review
“Boris Johnson: an amoral figure for a bleak, coarse culture
By Rory Stewart” Oof!
(tags: boris-johnson politics)

Covid fears have stopped social dancing in its tracks. – The Washington Post
“Some day, we’ll hit the dance floor again. And it will be glorious.”

Books mention “hope”. What *was* “hope”?
(tags: covid19 dancing lindy-hop swing)

Cluster of Coronavirus Disease Associated with Fitness Dance Classes, South Korea – Volume 26, Number 8—August 2020 – Emerging Infectious Diseases journal – CDC
“During 24 days in Cheonan, South Korea, 112 persons were infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 associated with fitness dance classes at 12 sports facilities. Intense physical exercise in densely populated sports facilities could increase risk for infection. Vigorous exercise in confined spaces should be minimized during outbreaks.”
(tags: dance health covid19)
Philosophy in the Shadow of Nazism | The New Yorker
The Vienna Circle
(tags: empiricism philosophy)

Yes, PCR tests can detect “the COVID virus” – Virology Down Under
The latest conspiracy theories allege that the test doesn’t work, so it’s interesting to see in explained.
(tags: pcr covid19 medicine biology science)
Johnson: The boy king who can’t grow up
“The ultimate problem with Johnson’s lack of seriousness is that he does not take the British people seriously. That is to say, he is a child who also treats us as children. He lies and jokes and tries to cheer people up, but never levels with us as adults. And so he has never confessed to the damage of Brexit. In the summer he declared it our “patriotic duty” to go to the pub. And last week he declared we should behave “fearlessly” in the face of the virus. Everyone must be mollycoddled or condescended to. The sordid reality must never be spoken.”
(tags: politics covid19 pandemic)