COVID-19: what health experts could and could not predict | Nature Medicine
Devi Sridhar in Nature: “Nearly a year after the first cases of COVID-19 were reported, it is time to look back and assess what could have been predicted by health experts.”
(tags: science covid19 pandemic medicine)
I thrived on the tension and drama of British politics. Then I had a heart attack | Health & wellbeing | The Guardian
“I lived for the nerve-shredding rollercoaster of Westminster. But the stress got under my skin, and into my blood”
(tags: twitter Politics brexit journalism health)
I’d love to ignore ‘Covid sceptics’ and their tall tales. But they make a splash and have no shame | Media | The Guardian
Neil O’Brien on the fantasies of those in the media, and beyond, who oppose lockdown. There have been a few articles like this recently, hopefully it marks a tide rising against the loonies.
(tags: covid19 science lockdown pandemic)
Rise of the Coronavirus Cranks – Quillette
Another demolition of the smiley face crew.
(tags: twitter pandemic covid19 science)

My Brexit hell | Robert Hutton | The Critic Magazine
“What was Brexit like? America’s declaration of independence? A man leaving a golf club but demanding to still be allowed into the bar? Over the years, I went through a few analogies, but the one that persisted was of a married man who has for years enjoyed casually flirting with a work colleague. One evening he makes his traditional half-hearted pass, and instead of rolling her eyes, she replies: “Go on, then”. A month later, he’s living out of his car and negotiating through lawyers to see his children one weekend a month, and he can’t really tell you how it happened.”
(tags: brexit Politics funny)
Dr Andi Fugard on Twitter: “One benefit of Brexit – new jokes can be created by mildly editing old Soviet jokes. For example: A man walks into a shop. He asks the clerk, “You don’t have any meat?” The clerk says, “No, here we don’t have any fish
A Twitter thread of Soviet jokes adapted for Brexit: “One benefit of Brexit – new jokes can be created by mildly editing old Soviet jokes. For example:

A man walks into a shop. He asks the clerk, “You don’t have any meat?” The clerk says, “No, here we don’t have any fish. The shop that doesn’t have any meat is across the street.””
(tags: brexit funny doom politics)

radicle
Distributed GitHub, bit like that Gittorrent thing but seems to be actively maintained.
(tags: git collaboration p2p)

Reasons for the COVID tier decisions in England
A presentation from NHS Test and Trace which David Spiegelhalter found.
(tags: disease pandemic covid19 nhs)
Balancing Epistemic Humility and Prior Knowledge – Insight
“This was a textbook virus. Why didn’t we act more like it?”
(tags: covid19 disease pandemic)
Chris Hopson on Twitter: “1/21 Parliament votes on the new tiered restctions on Tuesday. A lot of comment in today’s papers on what’s happening in the hospital sector. Important questions on NHS capacity, demand, preparedness, Nightingales etc. Thread
CEO of NHS Providers: “A lot of comment in today’s papers on what’s happening in the hospital sector. Important questions on NHS capacity, demand, preparedness, Nightingales etc. Thread below sets out NHS hospital trust perspective.”
(tags: covid19 nhs hospital pandemic)

Covid: The War We Never Fought – Consumer Surplus
“England is about to go into a second lockdown, along with lots of other European countries. It’s possible that the second wave of Covid infections we’re experiencing was inevitable, but we didn’t really try to avoid it either.” Contains a handy list of all the failed predictions from cranks like Toby Young and the Great Barrington backers.
(tags: health covid19 medicine Politics)
The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (England) (No. 4) Regulations 2020
The full text of the SI. This looks a lot more tightly drafted than the previous ones I’ve seen (and so is a fair bit longer).
(tags: law covid19)

No, 90% Of Coronavirus Tests Are Not ‘False Positives’ And This Is Why | HuffPost UK
Bayes for the win.
(tags: mathematics covid19 bayes-theorem)
The UK Government’s Vaccine Taskforce: strategy for protecting the UK and the world – The Lancet

(tags: vaccination covid19 medicine)

Covid-19: Do many people have pre-existing immunity? | The BMJ
Non-bonkers article on pre-existing immunity.
(tags: covid19 coronavirus immunity)
The importance of Nigel Farage and other political hobgoblins – The Law and Policy Blog
“Farage is a political hobgoblin.

He appears where there are cracks between the government and the governed, as a purveyor of easy answers.”
(tags: ukip brexit nigel-farage covid19)

The BMJ interview: Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, on covid-19 | The BMJ

(tags: covid19 medicine)

Boris Johnson: The gambler, by Tom Bower book review
“Boris Johnson: an amoral figure for a bleak, coarse culture
By Rory Stewart” Oof!
(tags: boris-johnson politics)